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Battleground Seats

The battleground for the 2016 election will be in Scotland’s most marginal seats. Due to the 4 party split in Scotland, there are quite a number of seats that could change hands with a fairly small swing.

The list to the right highlights the top 15 most vulnerable seats. The selection of these seats is based purely on the result of the last election and the low percentage swing required for a change of party.

Parties Key Target Seats

Each of the parties will have decided on their own key target seats. The tables below are based purely on the percentage swing required to take the seat. Each of the parties will have decided their own key targets on the basis of swing required, local canvas return information and local intelligence.

SNP Key Target Seats

Constituency Current Holder Swing required %
East Lothianlab0.2346
Greenock and Inverclydelab0.9058
Edinburgh North and Leithlab0.9633
Motherwell and Wishawlab1.2004
Glasgow Pollocklab1.3594
Uddingston and Bellshilllab1.4283
Galloway and West Dumfriescon1.4368
Ayrcon1.6675
Cowdenbeathlab2.4289
Dumbartonlab2.8746
Glasgow Maryhill and Springburnlab3.1465
Rutherglenlab3.2796
Renfrewshire Southlab4.8053

Con Key Target Seats

Constituency Current Holder Swing required %
Edinburgh Pentlandssnp2.9252
Eastwoodlab3.1512
Dumfriesshirelab4.9673

LibDem Key Target Seats

Constituency Current Holder Swing required %
Edinburgh Southernsnp2.4411
Edinburgh Westernsnp4.0192
North East Fifesnp4.3672

Lab Key Target Seats

Constituency Current Holder Swing required %
Glasgow Annieslandsnp0.0146
Kirkcaldysnp0.3273
Edinburgh Centralsnp0.4084
Paisleysnp0.4846
Dunfermlinesnp1.0069
Edinburgh Southernsnp1.0253
Aberdeen Centralsnp1.2267
Clydebank and Milngaviesnp1.2584
Glasgow Shettlestonsnp1.3635
Glasgow Kelvinsnp1.7965
Strathkelvin and Bearsdensnp2.6695
Renfrewshire North and Westsnp2.8442
Glasgow Cathcartsnp3.0356
East Kilbridesnp3.2580
Edinburgh Easternsnp3.6335

 

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